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Does testing more lead to finding more cases?

The numbers are going up not because we are testing more, but because the virus is being transmitted more. Jennifer Lee (2020). The case fatality rate (i.e. the…

  • Post date August 6, 2020
  • Post categories In Debates
  • Tags Case Fatality Rate, Coronavirus, PCR Tests, STATA Code
  • 2 Comments on Does testing more lead to finding more cases?

Kurtosis Illustrated

Kurtosis tells you virtually nothing about the shape of the peak – its only unambiguous interpretation is in terms of tail extremity; i.e., either existing outliers (for the…

  • Post date July 22, 2020
  • Post categories In Illustrated
  • Tags Kurtosis, STATA Code
  • 3 Comments on Kurtosis Illustrated

Burgernomics: Maps

Two important characteristics of maps should be noticed. A map is not the territory it represents, but, if correct, it has a similar structure to the territory, which…

  • Post date July 21, 2020
  • Post categories In Maps
  • Tags Balassa-Samuelson Effect, Burgernomics, Equilibrium Exchange Rates, Maps, Purchasing Parity Power, The Economist

Burgernomics: R codes and datasets

“Data! Data! Data!” he cried impatiently. “I can’t make bricks without clay.” Sherlock Holmes. The Adventure of the Copper Beeches, Sir Arthur Conan Doyle (1892). In my previous…

  • Post date July 20, 2020
  • Post categories In Codes and Datasets
  • Tags Balassa-Samuelson Effect, Burgernomics, Equilibrium Exchange Rates, Purchasing Parity Power, R Code, The Economist
  • 3 Comments on Burgernomics: R codes and datasets

Burgernomics: clearly explained!

The rate of exchange between two countries is primarily determined by the quotient between the internal purchasing power against goods of the money of each country. The general…

  • Post date July 18, 2020
  • Post categories In Pedagogical Note
  • Tags Balassa-Samuelson Effect, Burgernomics, Equilibrium Exchange Rates, Purchasing Parity Power, The Economist
  • 3 Comments on Burgernomics: clearly explained!

Unbiased estimator for population variance: clearly explained!

Estimator: A statistic used to approximate a population parameter. Sometimes called a point estimator. Estimate: The observed value of the estimator. Unbiased estimator: An estimator whose expected value…

  • Post date July 15, 2020
  • Post categories In Pedagogical Note
  • Tags Probability, Statistics, Unbiased Estimator, Variance
  • 13 Comments on Unbiased estimator for population variance: clearly explained!

Towards a more resilient EU after the COVID-19 crisis

We’re supposed to be living in an era where human beings have become the dominant influence on the environment, but COVID-19 has revealed the fragility of our societies and the…

  • Post date July 2, 2020
  • Post categories In Working Paper
  • Tags Economic Policy, European Union, Pandemic Crisis, Resilience
  • 1 Comment on Towards a more resilient EU after the COVID-19 crisis

Un moment Hamiltonien pour l’Europe… L’histoire sans fin ?

L’Histoire ne rampe pas. L’Histoire bondit. Nassim Nicholas Taleb (2008). Dans ces temps troublés pour l’économie mondiale plongée dans un coma artificiel, l’union monétaire européenne est sur la…

  • Post date April 26, 2020
  • Post categories In Opinion
  • Tags Economic History, EMU, ERMEES, Eurobonds, Radical Uncertainty, State Space Uncertainty

Europe’s Hamiltonian moment… Again

History does not crawl. History jumps. Nassim Nicholas Taleb (2008). In these dark times of ’Coronacoma’ for the World Economy, the European Monetary Union is on the brink……

  • Post date April 24, 2020
  • Post categories In Opinion
  • Tags Economic History, EMU, ERMEES, Eurobonds, Radical Uncertainty, State Space Uncertainty

Logistic growth: clearly explained!

La loi de la population nous est inconnue, parce qu’on ignore la nature de la fonction qui sert de mesure aux obstacles, tant préventifs que destructifs, qui s’opposent…

  • Post date April 11, 2020
  • Post categories In Pedagogical Note
  • Tags Coronavirus, Logistic Growth, Nonlinear Dynamics

On money demand in Vietnam

The demand for money is likely to depend upon the exchange rate in addition to the interest rate and the level of income; this would slightly reduce the…

  • Post date December 18, 2019
  • Post categories In Working Paper
  • Tags Exchange Rates, Money Demand, Nonlinear Dynamics
  • 1 Comment on On money demand in Vietnam

The Euro Crisis: Where Do We Stand?

This special issue of Brussels Economic Review / Cahiers Économiques de Bruxelles aims at providing some theoretical and empirical perspectives on the euro crisis from a macroeconomic viewpoint.…

  • Post date August 20, 2019
  • Post categories In Special Issue
  • Tags Brussels Economic Review, ERMEES, Euro Crisis, Eurobonds, European Union

Back to the Future Part II: the Phillips curve was discovered in 1926!?

On October 26, 1985, in Back to the Future Part II, Dr. Emmett Brown (Doc) and Marty Mac Fly go back to 1955 after trying to prevent Marty’s…

  • Post date June 3, 2019
  • Post categories In Ideas
  • Tags Economic History, JPE, PC curve

The Phillips curve has disappeared… not yet!

Downward wage and price rigidity matters only when overall inflation is very low. Joseph E. Gagnon (2018). As the US unemployment rate continues to drift down to levels…

  • Post date May 25, 2019
  • Post categories In Pedagogical Note
  • Tags Nonlinear Dynamics, PC curve, PIIE
  • 1 Comment on The Phillips curve has disappeared… not yet!

Skin in the game

It was a real pleasure to read this book. Set aside the provocative tone of the author and you will understand why having one’s skin in the game…

  • Post date April 11, 2019
  • Post categories In Book
  • Tags Economic History, Hidden Asymmetries, Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Can we limit divergence in a monetary union?

To allow national fiscal stabilizers to work, governments must be able to borrow at an affordable cost in times of economic stress. A strong fiscal framework is indispensable…

  • Post date August 13, 2018
  • Post categories In Research Article
  • Tags EMU, FEER, Metroeconomica, SFC

Devaluing (without devaluing) to prosperity

Even with more flexible economies, internal adjustment will always be slower than it would be if countries had their own exchange rate. Mario Draghi (2015). The title of…

  • Post date August 12, 2018
  • Post categories In Research Article
  • Tags Applied Economics, EMU, FEER

Quelques perspectives sur le revenu universel

The error contained in this sermon determined me to publish my “Agrarian Justice.” It is wrong to say God made rich and poor; He made only male and…

  • Post date April 17, 2017
  • Post categories In Ideas
  • Tags Economic History, Universal Income, Utopia

Sur la situation des désalignements de change après le vote du Brexit

Entre le déclenchement de la crise de l’euro et le vote britannique sur la sortie du Royaume-Uni de l’Union Européenne, nous avons assisté à une réduction massive des…

  • Post date January 3, 2017
  • Post categories In Research Article
  • Tags Bulletin de l'OPEE, EMU, FEER, Internal Devaluation

Le néolibéralisme a-t-il été survendu ?

Policymakers, and institutions like the IMF that advise them, must be guided not by faith, but by evidence of what has worked. Jonathan Ostry, Prakash Loungani, Davide Furceri…

  • Post date September 19, 2016
  • Post categories In Opinion
  • Tags Austerity, Capital Controls, IMF

Comment réduire les déséquilibres de compétitivité dans la zone euro ?

Le processus d’ajustement est obligatoire pour le débiteur et facultatif pour le créancier. Si le créancier choisit ou non de réaliser sa part de l’ajustement, il ne souffre…

  • Post date December 16, 2014
  • Post categories In Pedagogical Note
  • Tags Adjustment Mechanisms, Current Account Imbalances, EMU

Competitiveness imbalances in the eurozone

The process of adjustment is compulsory for the debtor and voluntary for the creditor. If the creditor does not choose to make, or allow, his share of the…

  • Post date December 16, 2014
  • Post categories In Pedagogical Note
  • Tags Adjustment Mechanisms, Current Account Imbalances, EMU

Unknown unknowns…

When I want to explain the concept of Knightian uncertainty (Frank Knight, 1921) to my students. I sometimes refer to the video filmed in March 2003 of Donald…

  • Post date October 15, 2013
  • Post categories In Video
  • Tags Donald Rumsfeld, Frank Knight, Radical Uncertainty, State Space Uncertainty

Désajustements de change, fédéralisme budgétaire et redistribution

It was a real pleasure to participate in the 9th EUROFRAME conference which took place in June 2012 at the Kiel Institute for the World Economy. The conference…

  • Post date January 10, 2013
  • Post categories In Research Article
  • Tags Euro Crisis, Eurobonds, Eurozone, FEER, Fiscal Federalism, Revue de l'OFCE, Transfers

Dimension temporelle et taux de change d’équilibre

Cette recherche a été motivée par deux types de critique portant sur les taux de change d’équilibre. Le premier type de critique porte sur les incertitudes entourant les…

  • Post date May 8, 2012
  • Post categories In Research Article
  • Tags BEER, Equilibrium Exchange Rates, FEER, Revue Économique, Temporal Dimension

Temporal Dimension and Equilibrium Exchange rates

This research has been motivated by two lines of criticism about equilibrium exchange rates, the first one bears on the uncertainties surrounding the measurement of equilibrium exchange rates…

  • Post date October 13, 2011
  • Post categories In Research Article
  • Tags BEER, Emerging Markets Review, Equilibrium Exchange Rates, FEER, Temporal Dimension
  • 1 Comment on Temporal Dimension and Equilibrium Exchange rates

FEER of falling

As far as I remember, I always wanted to be a researcher in social sciences. It is great pleasure for me to share with the world, my first…

  • Post date June 2, 2010
  • Post categories In Research Article
  • Tags Current Account Imbalances, Equilibrium Exchange Rates, Eurozone, FEER, International Economics, Output Gaps
  • 2 Comments on FEER of falling

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