Publications

  1. Bloom, D. E., Prettner, K., Saadaoui, J., & Veruete, M. (2025). Artificial intelligence and the skill premium. Finance Research Letters, forthcoming.
  2. Ginn, W., & Saadaoui, J. (2025). ​Do Supply Chain Disruptions Matter for Global Economic Conditions? The World Economy, 10.1111/twec.13713.
  3. Ginn, W., & Saadaoui, J. (2025). ​Monetary Policy Reaction to Geopolitical Risks in Unstable Environments. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 29, e90. 10.1017/S136510052500015X.
  4. Oriola, H., & Saadaoui, J. (2025). ​Exchange Rate Reaction to International Organization Loans and Geopolitical Preferences. Economics Letters, 248, 112212. Open Access thanks to a grant from the Université Paris VIII Vincennes-Saint-Denis.
  5. Saadaoui, J., Barbier-Gauchard, A., & Strum, J.-E. (2025). Geopolitical Risks, Political Tensions and the European Economy, European Journal of Political Economy, 86, 102644.
  6. Saadaoui, J., Smyth, R., & Vespignani, J. (2025). Ensuring the security of the clean energy transition: Examining the impact of geopolitical risk on the price of critical minerals. Energy Economics, 142, 108195. Open Access thanks to a grant from Monash University.
  7. Ginn, W., & Saadaoui, J. (2025). Impact of Supply Chain Disruptions on Financial Leverage. International Review of Financial Analysis, 98, 103883. Open Access thanks to a grant from the Université Paris VIII Vincennes-Saint-Denis.
  8. Mignon, V., & Saadaoui, J. (2025). Asymmetries in the oil market: accounting for the growing role of China through quantile regressions. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 29, e38, 10.1017.
  9. Saadaoui, J. (2024). Financial development, international reserves, and real exchange rate dynamics: Insights from the Europe and Central Asia region. Finance Research Letters, 70, 106359. Open Access thanks to a grant from the Université Paris VIII Vincennes-Saint-Denis.
  10. Aizenman, J., Park, D., Qureshi, I. A., Saadaoui, J., & Uddin, G. S. (2024). The performance of emerging markets during the Fed’s easing and tightening cycles: a cross-country resilience analysis. Journal of International Money and Finance, 148, 103169.
  11. Afonso, A., Mignon, V., & Saadaoui, J. (2024). On the time-varying impact of China’s bilateral political relations on its trading partners:“Doux commerce” or “trade follows the flag”? China Economic Review, 85, 102184.
  12. Coulibaly, I., Gnimassoun, B., Mighri, H., & Saadaoui, J. (2024). International reserves, currency depreciation and public debt: new evidence of buffer effects in Africa. Emerging Markets Review, 60, 101130.
  13. Aizenman, J., Ho, S. H., Huynh, L. D. T., Saadaoui, J., & Uddin, G. S. (2024). Real exchange rate and international reserves in the era of financial integration. Journal of International Money and Finance, 141, 103014.
  14. Mignon, V., & Saadaoui, J. (2024). How do political tensions and geopolitical risks impact oil prices? Energy Economics, 129, 107219.
  15. Cai, Y., Saadaoui, J., & Wu, Y. (2024). Political relations and trade: New evidence from Australia, China, and the United States. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 71(3), 253-275, 12367. Open Access thanks to a grant from the University of Western Australia.
  16. Saadaoui, J., Lau, C. K. M., & Cai, Y. (2024). Testing fiscal sustainability in OECD countries: new evidence from the past centuries. Applied Economics Letters, 31(7), 676-682, 2142502.
  17. Ahmed, R., Aizenman, J., Saadaoui, J., & Uddin, G. S. (2023). On the effectiveness of foreign exchange reserves during the 2021-22 US monetary tightening cycle. Economics Letters, 233, 111367.
  18. Barbier-Gauchard, A., Ligonnière, S., & Saadaoui, J. (2023). The European economy in the time of Covid-19: Towards a new dawn? International Economics, 174, 02.002.
  19. Cai, Y., Mignon, V., & Saadaoui, J. (2022). Not all political relation shocks are alike: Assessing the impacts of US–China tensions on the oil market. Energy Economics, 114, 106199. Code for replication: https://github.com/.
  20. Ho, S. H., & Saadaoui, J. (2022). Bank credit and economic growth: A dynamic threshold panel model for ASEAN countries. International Economics, 170, 115-128, 03.001.
  21. Cai, Y., & Saadaoui, J. (2022). Fourier DF unit root test for R&D intensity of G7 countries. Applied Economics, 54(42), 4900-4914, 2038776.
  22. Ho, S. H., & Saadaoui, J. (2021). Symmetric and asymmetric effects of exchange rates on money demand: empirical evidence from Vietnam. Applied Economics, 53(34), 3948-3961, 1888864. Code for replication: https://github.com/.
  23. Barbier-Gauchard, A., Dai, M., Mainguy, C., Saadaoui, J., Sidiropoulos, M., Terraz, I., & Trabelsi, J. (2021). Towards a more resilient European Union after the COVID-19 crisis. Eurasian Economic Review, 11(2), 321-348, s40822-021-00167-4.
  24. Duwicquet, V., Mazier, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2018). Dealing with the consequences of exchange rate misalignments for macroeconomic adjustments in the EMU. Metroeconomica, 69(4), 737-767, meca.12211.
  25. Saadaoui, J. (2018). Internal Devaluations and Equilibrium Exchange Rates: new evidence and perspectives for the EMU. Applied Economics, 50(59), 6364-6381, 1486019. Code for replication: https://github.com/.
  26. Saadaoui, J. (2015). Does financial openness explain the increase of global imbalances before the crisis of 2008? International Economics, 143, 23-35, 04.002.
  27. Saadaoui, J. (2015). Global imbalances: Should we use fundamental equilibrium exchange rates? Economic Modelling, 47, 383-398, 02.007. Code for replication: https://github.com/.
  28. Saadaoui, J., Mazier, J., & Aflouk, N. (2013). On the determinants of exchange rate misalignments. Applied Economics Letters, 20(18), 1608-1610, 829189.
  29. Duwicquet, V., Mazier, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2013). Désajustements de change, fédéralisme budgétaire et redistribution: Comment s’ajuster en union monétaire. Revue de l’OFCE, 127, 57-96, 127.0057.
  30. Lòpez-Villavicencio, A., Mazier, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2012). Temporal dimension and equilibrium exchange rate: A FEER/BEER comparison. Emerging Markets Review, 13(1), 58-77, 10.001. Code for replication: https://github.com/.
  31. López-Villavicencio, A., Mazier, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2012). Dimension temporelle et taux de change d’équilibre: une application au cas des États-Unis. Revue économique, 633(3), 535-544, reco.633.0535.
  32. Saadaoui, J. (2011). Exchange rate dynamics and fundamental equilibrium exchange rates. Economics Bulletin, 31(3), 1993-2005, EB-11-V31-I3-P180.
  33. Aflouk, N., Jeong, S. E., Mazier, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2010). Exchange rate misalignments and international imbalances a FEER approach for emerging countries. International Economics, 124(4), 31-74, 60019-0.
  34. Jeong, S. E., Mazier, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2010). Exchange rate misalignments at world and European levels: a FEER approach. International Economics, 121(1), 25-57, 60007-4.

NBER Working Papers

  1. Aizenman, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2024). How Institutions Interact with Exchange Rates After the 2024 US Presidential Election: New High-Frequency Evidence (No. w33193). National Bureau of Economic Research.
  2. Aizenman, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2024). The Resilience of Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE) Countries During ECB’s Monetary Cycles (No. w32957). National Bureau of Economic Research.
  3. Bloom, D. E., Prettner, K., Saadaoui, J., & Veruete, M. (2024). Artificial intelligence and the skill premium (No. w32430). National Bureau of Economic Research.
  4. Aizenman, J., Park, D., Qureshi, I., Uddin, G. S., & Saadaoui, J. (2024). The Performance of Emerging Markets During the Fed’s Easing and Tightening Cycles: A Cross-Country Resilience Analysis. NBER Working Paper, (w32303).
  5. Ahmed, R., Aizenman, J., Saadaoui, J., & Uddin, G. S. (2023). On the Effectiveness of Foreign Exchange Reserves During the 2021-22 US Monetary Tightening Cycle (No. w30935). National Bureau of Economic Research.
  6. Aizenman, J., Ho, S. H., Huynh, L. D. T., Saadaoui, J., & Uddin, G. S. (2023). Real exchange rate and international reserves in the era of financial integration (No. w30891). National Bureau of Economic Research.

Active Working Papers

  1. Paldam, M., & Saadaoui, J. (2025). Oil countries: what kind of capitalism? Available at SSRN 5196860. Submitted.
  2. Saadaoui, J. (2025). US-China Tensions, US Partisan Conflict and Global Oil Prices: Scapegoating or Following the Flag or both? Available at SSRN 5195676. Submitted.
  3. Afonso, A., Alves, J., Coelho, J. C. & Saadaoui, J. (2025), Fiscal and External Sustainability: a Two-Step Time-varying Granger Causality Assessment. Available at SSRN: 5137618. Submitted.
  4. Ginn, W., & Saadaoui, J. (2025). Impact of Political Polarization on Economic Conditions. Available at SSRN 5119306. Submission Planned.
  5. Tao, M., Che, S., Qi, L., Wu, L. & Saadaoui, J. (2025). The Global Oil Web: Trading Shifts and Geopolitical Concerns. Revise & Resubmit.
  6. Glawe, L., Saadaoui, J., & Xu, C. (2024). Nonlinearities in the Inflation-Growth Relationship and the Role of Uncertainty: Evidence from China’s Provinces. Available at SSRN 5067849. Under Review.
  7. Cai, Y., Saadaoui, J., & Uddin, G. S. (2024). US Partisan Conflict, Sino-US Political Relation News, and Oil Market Dynamics. Available at SSRN 4868418. Revise & Resubmit.
  8. Aizenman, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2024). How Institutions Interact with Exchange Rates After the 2024 US Presidential Election: New High-Frequency Evidence (No. w33193). National Bureau of Economic Research. Under Review.
  9. Ginn, W., & Saadaoui, J. (2024). Impact of Geopolitical Risks on Equity Returns. Available at SSRN 4985806. Under Review.
  10. Aizenman, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2024). The Resilience of Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE) Countries During ECB’s Monetary Cycles (No. w32957). National Bureau of Economic Research. Submitted.
  11. Beirne, J., Park, D., Saadaoui, J., & Uddin, G. S. (2024). Impact of Climate Risk on Fiscal Space: Do Political Stability and Financial Development Matter? (No. 748). Asian Development Bank. Submission Planned.
  12. Oriola, H., Saadaoui, J. (2024). How does geopolitical alignment affect the catalytic effect of international organizations loans? Available at SSRN 4849861. Submission Planned.
  13. Roderweis, P., Saadaoui, J., & Serranito, F. (2023). The Unintended Consequences of ECB’s Asset Purchases. How Excess Reserves Shape Bank Lending. Available at SSRN 4453988. Submitted.

Scientific activities at a glance

  • Articles (peer-reviewed): 34
  • Special issues (peer-reviewed): 3
  • Editorial Positions: 1
  • Books: 1
  • Book chapters (peer-reviewed): 5
  • International and national conferences: 44
  • Symposiums: 8
  • Workshops: 19
  • Organized conferences: 6
  • Invited Seminar 14 (1 keynote)
  • Reviewers for journals: 87 (29 for A-ranked journals*)
  • Reviewer for international conferences: 4
  • Scientific grants: 4
  • PhD thesis supervisions: 3 (3 ongoing)
  • Total amount of funding (past and ongoing projects): 65,000 EUR

*Note: CNU ranking list: A (15), B (15), C (3), Unranked (1). Last updated: February 11, 2025.