Publications

  1. Afonso, A., Alves, J., Coelho, J. C. & Saadaoui, J. (2026). What are the causal links between fiscal and external sustainability in the EU? New time-varying evidence, Journal of International Money and Finance, 167, 103610. OPEN ACCESS.
  2. Frangiamore, F., & Saadaoui, J. (2026). Local and Anglosphere-Based Geopolitical Risk and Sovereign Stress in the Euro Area, Finance Research Letters, 101, 110078. OPEN ACCESS.
  3. Saadaoui, J. (2026). Geopolitical Turning Points and Macroeconomic Volatility: A Bilateral Identification Strategy. Journal of Comparative Economics, 10.1016/j.jce.2026.03.010. OPEN ACCESS.
  4. Aizenman, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2026). How Institutions Interact with Exchange Rates After the 2024 US Presidential Election: New High-Frequency Evidence. Economics and Politics, forthcoming, 10.1111/ecpo.70047. OPEN ACCESS.
  5. Saadaoui, J., Smyth, R., Vespignani, J., & Wang, Y. (2026). Critical Minerals in an Age of Geopolitical Rivalry: Stockpiling, Refining Constraints, and the Limits of Friend-Shoring. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Volume 42, Issue 1, Spring 2026, Pages 111–130, 10.1093/oxrep/grag005. FULL ACCESS.
  6. Ginn, W., & Saadaoui, J. (2026). Are Consumer Sentiment Shocks State-Dependent?  Journal of Macroeconomics, 88, 103753. OPEN ACCESS.
  7. Saadaoui, J., Beirne, J., Park, D., & Uddin, G. S. (2026). Impact of Climate Vulnerability on Fiscal Risk: Do Religious Tensions and Financial Development Matter? Energy Economics, 155, 109180. OPEN ACCESS.
  8. Sun, K., Chi,. J., Tao, M., & Saadaoui, J. (2026). What are the Implications of Geopolitical Risks on Travel and Leisure Firms? Finance Research Letters, 91, 109419. OPEN ACCESS.
  9. Aizenman, J., Ito, H., Park, D., Saadaoui, J., & Uddin, G. S. (2026). Global Shocks, Institutional Development, and Trade Restrictions: What Can We Learn from Crises and Recoveries Between 1990 and 2022? Journal of International Money and Finance, 161, 103504. OPEN ACCESS.
  10. Ferrara, L., & Saadaoui, J. (2025). Measuring Geoeconomics. Revue d’Économie Financière, 160, December 2025.
  11. Tao, M., Che, S., Qi, L., Wu, L., & Saadaoui, J. (2025). Global Oil Trading Networks: Structural Patterns and Geopolitical Risks. Energy Economics, 151, 108965. OPEN ACCESS.
  12. Aizenman, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2025). The Resilience of Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE) Countries During ECB’s Monetary Cycles. Open Economies Review, 10.1007/s11079-025-09835-3. OPEN ACCESS.
  13. Cai, Y., Saadaoui, J., & Uddin, G. S. (2025). US Partisan Conflict, Sino-US Political Relation News, and Oil Market Dynamics. Energy Economics, 149, 108820. OPEN ACCESS.
  14. Cai, Y., & Saadaoui, J. (2025). US-China Tensions, US Partisan Conflict and Global Oil Prices: Scapegoating? Applied Economics Letters, 2522908.
  15. Tao, M., Saadaoui, J., & Silva, E. (2025). How Robust Is the Link Between Growth and Fiscal Consolidations Under Global Uncertainties? A Reassessment for Sub-Saharan Africa. Finance Research Letters, 84, 107773, OPEN ACCESS.
  16. Necati, A., Eski, I. H., Ginn, W., Saadaoui, J. (2025). Effect of Geopolitical and Environmental Disruptions on Maritime Trade Security. Economics Bulletin, 45(2), EB-25-V45-I2-P73, OPEN ACCESS.
  17. Ginn, W., & Saadaoui, J. (2025). Impact of Geopolitical Risks on Equity Returns. International Economic Journal, 39(3), 2518947.
  18. Bloom, D. E., Prettner, K., Saadaoui, J., & Veruete, M. (2025). Artificial intelligence and the skill premium. Finance Research Letters, 81, 107401. OPEN ACCESS. Code for replication: https://github.com/.
  19. Ginn, W., & Saadaoui, J. (2025). ​Do Supply Chain Disruptions Matter for Global Economic Conditions? The World Economy, 48(7), 1534-1551, 10.1111/twec.13713. FULL ACCESS.
  20. Ginn, W., & Saadaoui, J. (2025). ​Monetary Policy Reaction to Geopolitical Risks in Unstable Environments. FULL ACCESS. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 29, e90. 10.1017/S136510052500015X.
  21. Oriola, H., & Saadaoui, J. (2025). ​Exchange Rate Reaction to International Organization Loans and Geopolitical Preferences. Economics Letters, 248, 112212. OPEN ACCESS.
  22. Saadaoui, J., Barbier-Gauchard, A., & Sturm, J.-E. (2025). Geopolitical Risks, Political Tensions and the European Economy, European Journal of Political Economy, 86, 102644.
  23. Saadaoui, J., Smyth, R., & Vespignani, J. (2025). Ensuring the security of the clean energy transition: Examining the impact of geopolitical risk on the price of critical minerals. Energy Economics, 142, 108195. OPEN ACCESS. Code for replication: https://github.com/.
  24. Ginn, W., & Saadaoui, J. (2025). Impact of Supply Chain Disruptions on Financial Leverage. International Review of Financial Analysis, 98, 103883. OPEN ACCESS.
  25. Mignon, V., & Saadaoui, J. (2025). Asymmetries in the oil market: accounting for the growing role of China through quantile regressions. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 29, e38, 10.1017. FULL ACCESS.
  26. Saadaoui, J. (2024). Financial development, international reserves, and real exchange rate dynamics: Insights from the Europe and Central Asia region. Finance Research Letters, 70, 106359. OPEN ACCESS. Code for replication: https://github.com/.
  27. Aizenman, J., Park, D., Qureshi, I. A., Saadaoui, J., & Uddin, G. S. (2024). The performance of emerging markets during the Fed’s easing and tightening cycles: a cross-country resilience analysis. Journal of International Money and Finance, 148, 103169.
  28. Afonso, A., Mignon, V., & Saadaoui, J. (2024). On the time-varying impact of China’s bilateral political relations on its trading partners:“Doux commerce” or “trade follows the flag”? China Economic Review, 85, 102184.
  29. Coulibaly, I., Gnimassoun, B., Mighri, H., & Saadaoui, J. (2024). International reserves, currency depreciation and public debt: new evidence of buffer effects in Africa. Emerging Markets Review, 60, 101130. Code for replication: https://github.com/.
  30. Aizenman, J., Ho, S. H., Huynh, L. D. T., Saadaoui, J., & Uddin, G. S. (2024). Real exchange rate and international reserves in the era of financial integration. Journal of International Money and Finance, 141, 103014. FULL ACCESS. Code for replication: https://github.com/.
  31. Mignon, V., & Saadaoui, J. (2024). How do political tensions and geopolitical risks impact oil prices? Energy Economics, 129, 107219. FULL ACCESS. Code for replication: https://github.com/.
  32. Cai, Y., Saadaoui, J., & Wu, Y. (2024). Political relations and trade: New evidence from Australia, China, and the United States. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 71(3), 253-275, 12367. OPEN ACCESS.
  33. Saadaoui, J., Lau, C. K. M., & Cai, Y. (2024). Testing fiscal sustainability in OECD countries: new evidence from the past centuries. Applied Economics Letters, 31(7), 676-682, 2142502.
  34. Ahmed, R., Aizenman, J., Saadaoui, J., & Uddin, G. S. (2023). On the effectiveness of foreign exchange reserves during the 2021-22 US monetary tightening cycle. Economics Letters, 233, 111367. Code for replication: https://github.com/.
  35. Barbier-Gauchard, A., Ligonnière, S., & Saadaoui, J. (2023). The European economy in the time of Covid-19: Towards a new dawn? International Economics, 174, 02.002.
  36. Cai, Y., Mignon, V., & Saadaoui, J. (2022). Not all political relation shocks are alike: Assessing the impacts of US–China tensions on the oil market. Energy Economics, 114, 106199. Code for replication: https://github.com/.
  37. Ho, S. H., & Saadaoui, J. (2022). Bank credit and economic growth: A dynamic threshold panel model for ASEAN countries. International Economics, 170, 115-128, 03.001. FULL ACCESS. Code for replication: https://github.com/.
  38. Cai, Y., & Saadaoui, J. (2022). Fourier DF unit root test for R&D intensity of G7 countries. Applied Economics, 54(42), 4900-4914, 2038776.
  39. Ho, S. H., & Saadaoui, J. (2021). Symmetric and asymmetric effects of exchange rates on money demand: empirical evidence from Vietnam. Applied Economics, 53(34), 3948-3961, 1888864. Code for replication: https://github.com/.
  40. Barbier-Gauchard, A., Dai, M., Mainguy, C., Saadaoui, J., Sidiropoulos, M., Terraz, I., & Trabelsi, J. (2021). Towards a more resilient European Union after the COVID-19 crisis. Eurasian Economic Review, 11(2), 321-348, s40822-021-00167-4.
  41. Duwicquet, V., Mazier, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2018). Dealing with the consequences of exchange rate misalignments for macroeconomic adjustments in the EMU. Metroeconomica, 69(4), 737-767, meca.12211.
  42. Saadaoui, J. (2018). Internal Devaluations and Equilibrium Exchange Rates: new evidence and perspectives for the EMU. Applied Economics, 50(59), 6364-6381, 1486019. FULL ACCESS. Code for replication: https://github.com/.
  43. Saadaoui, J. (2015). Does financial openness explain the increase of global imbalances before the crisis of 2008? International Economics, 143, 23-35, 04.002.
  44. Saadaoui, J. (2015). Global imbalances: Should we use fundamental equilibrium exchange rates? Economic Modelling, 47, 383-398, 02.007. FULL ACCESS. Code for replication: https://github.com/.
  45. Saadaoui, J., Mazier, J., & Aflouk, N. (2013). On the determinants of exchange rate misalignments. Applied Economics Letters, 20(18), 1608-1610, 829189.
  46. Duwicquet, V., Mazier, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2013). Désajustements de change, fédéralisme budgétaire et redistribution: Comment s’ajuster en union monétaire. Revue de l’OFCE, 127, 57-96, 127.0057.
  47. Lòpez-Villavicencio, A., Mazier, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2012). Temporal dimension and equilibrium exchange rate: A FEER/BEER comparison. Emerging Markets Review, 13(1), 58-77, 10.001. Code for replication: https://github.com/.
  48. López-Villavicencio, A., Mazier, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2012). Dimension temporelle et taux de change d’équilibre: une application au cas des États-Unis. Revue économique, 633(3), 535-544, reco.633.0535.
  49. Saadaoui, J. (2011). Exchange rate dynamics and fundamental equilibrium exchange rates. Economics Bulletin, 31(3), 1993-2005, EB-11-V31-I3-P180, OPEN ACCESS.
  50. Aflouk, N., Jeong, S. E., Mazier, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2010). Exchange rate misalignments and international imbalances a FEER approach for emerging countries. International Economics, 124(4), 31-74, 60019-0.
  51. Jeong, S. E., Mazier, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2010). Exchange rate misalignments at world and European levels: a FEER approach. International Economics, 121(1), 25-57, 60007-4. FULL ACCESS.

Scientific activities at a glance

  • Articles (peer-reviewed): 51
  • Special issues (peer-reviewed): 3
  • Editorial Positions: 2
  • Books: 1
  • Book chapters (peer-reviewed): 6
  • International and national conferences: 64
  • Symposiums: 9
  • Workshops: 25
  • Organized conferences: 6
  • Invited Seminar 25 (1 keynote)
  • Reviewers for journals: 90+ (29 for A-ranked journals*)
  • Reviewer for international conferences: 4
  • Scientific grants: 6
  • PhD thesis supervisions: 3 (3 ongoing)
  • Total amount of funding (past and ongoing projects): 120,025 EUR

*Note: CNU ranking list: A (22), B (22), C (6), Unranked (1). Last updated: March 27, 2026.