Tag: Euro Area

France’s Fiscal Weakness, Italy’s External Constraint: Two Paths in the Euro Area

Why France and Italy? The paper “What are the causal links between fiscal and external sustainability in the EU? New time-varying evidence” studies 27 EU countries over 2002Q1–2023Q4.…

Local and Anglosphere-Based Geopolitical Risk and Sovereign Stress in the Euro Area (Finance Research Letters)

NEW PUBLICATION: Is Geopolitical Risk (GPR) detrimental to sovereign stress in the Euro Area (EA)? We address this question by estimating the dynamic effects of GPR shocks—originating either…