Tag: Diplomatic Tensions

Joint Inference in LP: Wald Tests and Simultaneous Confidence Bands

Joint Inference in LP: Wald Tests and Simultaneous Confidence Bands A response curve can have a 95% simultaneous confidence band that includes zero at every horizon and still…

Post date September 22, 2026
Post categories In Codes and Datasets, Pedagogical Note, Research Article
Tags Diplomatic Tensions, Geopolitical Risk, Joint Inference, Local Projections, Nuclear Threats, Oil prices, Python, Simultaneous Confidence Bands, Wald Test

Trade Wars and Geopolitical Fragmentation: Brunel–Leeds Conference 2026

I am delighted to announce that our paper has been accepted for presentation at the International Conference on Trade Wars, Geopolitical Fragmentation and Repercussions for Financial and Monetary…

Post date September 9, 2026
Post categories In Conferences
Tags Bilateral Conflict Risk, Brunel University of London, Brunel–Leeds Conference 2026, Diplomatic Tensions, EconMacro, Financial stability, GDELT, Geopolitical Fragmentation, Gravity Model, International Trade, Military Conflict, Monetary Stability, NBER, Trade Retaliation, Trade Wars, University of Leeds

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Joint Inference in LP: Wald Tests and Simultaneous Confidence Bands

Trade Wars and Geopolitical Fragmentation: Brunel–Leeds Conference 2026

When US–China tensions lower oil prices

Geopolitcal Turning points and the World Economy: Next Presentation and Ongoing Research

Joint Inference in LP: Wald Tests and Simultaneous Confidence Bands

Not All Geopolitical Turning Points Are Alike: Oil Price Effects and Implications for Energy Security Policy (SSRN Working Paper)

Why the Fed Can Raise Rates in a More Dangerous World