Exclusion – EconMacro

IMF-CEF and EMEA Joint Research Webinar

Truly honored to present my latest CAMA Working Paper during an IMF-CEF and EMEA research webinar on Thursday 9 April 2026. Stay tuned for more information. Geopolitical Turning…

Post date March 22, 2026
Post categories In Conferences
Tags China, Data Visualization, Energy Economics, Euro-Mediterranean Economists Association - EMEA, Exclusion, Geopolitical Risks, Instrumental Variable, International Monetary Fund, International Monetary Fund’s Middle East Center for Economics and Finance (IMF - CEF), IRF, Local Projections, Oil Price, Political Relationships, Quantile Local Projections, STATA Code

Illustrating the new IVLPIRF Stata 19’s command

Yesterday, Stata published a spotlight blog on instrumental-variable local projection impulse-response functions built around the ivlpirf command. The point is important. Local projections are already widely used in…

Post date March 6, 2026
Post categories In Pedagogical Note, Research Article
Tags China, Data Visualization, Energy Economics, Exclusion, Geopolitical Risks, Instrumental Variable, IRF, Local Projections, Oil Price, Political Relationships, STATA Code

Geopolitical Turning Points and Macroeconomic Volatility: Relevance, Anticipation, and Exclusion (Honey, I think I found an instrument)

An important problem in empirical macroeconomics is that geopolitics can influence economics in the long run. Relations between major powers evolve endogenously with trade, growth, financial conditions, and…

Post date January 27, 2026
Post categories In Working Paper
Tags Anticipation, China, Energy Economics, Exclusion, Geopolitical Risks, Instrumental Variable, Local Projections, Oil Price, Political Relationships, Quantile Regressions, STATA Code

IMF-CEF and EMEA Joint Research Webinar

Illustrating the new IVLPIRF Stata 19’s command

Geopolitical Turning Points and Macroeconomic Volatility: Relevance, Anticipation, and Exclusion (Honey, I think I found an instrument)

Geopolitical Turning Points and Macroeconomic Volatility: A Bilateral Identification Strategy (Journal of Comparative Economics)

Premier passage à la télévision (France 24)

How Institutions Interact with Exchange Rates After the 2024 US Presidential Election: New High-Frequency Evidence (Economics and Politics)

IMF-CEF and EMEA Joint Research Webinar

Critical Minerals in an Age of Geopolitical Rivalry: Stockpiling, Refining Constraints, and the Limits of Friend-Shoring (Oxford Review of Economic Policy)