When US–China tensions lower oil prices
Geopolitical tensions can raise oil prices by threatening supply. They can also depress prices by weakening the outlook for trade, investment and energy demand. US–China relations provide an…
Geopolitical tensions can raise oil prices by threatening supply. They can also depress prices by weakening the outlook for trade, investment and energy demand. US–China relations provide an…
In this blog, I will show you how to visualize the time-varying coefficients of the estimator proposed by Inoue et al. (2024). The dataset used in this blog…
A recent Bank of England working paper by Simon Lloyd and Ed Manuel suggests using a one-step approach with appropriate controls in the LP estimations. Lloyd, Simon &…
NEW WORKING PAPER: This note explores the impact of geopolitical relationships between the US and China on the oil price. Using time-varying local projections, my analysis reveals that…
Very honored to contribute my third guest blog post on Econbrowser. I am deeply grateful to Menzie Chinn. Remarks and comments are welcome, as always: https://econbrowser.com/.
NEW PUBLICATION: We assess the impact of China’s bilateral political relations with three main trading partners—the US, Germany, and the UK—on current account balances and exchange rates, over…
Nothing left to load.