Active Working Papers

  1. Aizenman, J., Ito, H., Park, D., Saadaoui, J, & Uddin, G. S. (2025). Global Shocks, Institutional Development, and Trade Restrictions: What Can We Learn from Crises and Recoveries Between 1990 and 2022? (No w33757). National Bureau of Economic Research.
  2. Papadimitriou, T., Gogas, P., Sofianos, E., Giannakis, N. & Saadaoui, J. (2025), Do International Reserve Holdings Still Predict Economic Crises? Insights from Recent Machine Learning Techniques. Available at SSRN 5237256.
  3. Paldam, M., & Saadaoui, J. (2025). Oil countries: what kind of capitalism? Available at SSRN 5196860.
  4. Saadaoui, J. (2025). US-China Tensions, US Partisan Conflict and Global Oil Prices: Scapegoating or Following the Flag or both? Available at SSRN 5195676.
  5. Afonso, A., Alves, J., Coelho, J. C. & Saadaoui, J. (2025), Fiscal and External Sustainability: a Two-Step Time-varying Granger Causality Assessment. Available at SSRN: 5137618.
  6. Ginn, W., & Saadaoui, J. (2025). Impact of Political Polarization on Economic Conditions. Available at SSRN 5119306.
  7. Tao, M., Che, S., Qi, L., Wu, L. & Saadaoui, J. (2025). The Global Oil Web: Trading Shifts and Geopolitical Concerns.
  8. Glawe, L., Saadaoui, J., & Xu, C. (2024). Nonlinearities in the Inflation-Growth Relationship and the Role of Uncertainty: Evidence from China’s Provinces. Available at SSRN 5067849.
  9. Cai, Y., Saadaoui, J., & Uddin, G. S. (2024). US Partisan Conflict, Sino-US Political Relation News, and Oil Market Dynamics. Available at SSRN 4868418.
  10. Aizenman, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2024). How Institutions Interact with Exchange Rates After the 2024 US Presidential Election: New High-Frequency Evidence (No. w33193). National Bureau of Economic Research.
  11. Ginn, W., & Saadaoui, J. (2024). Impact of Geopolitical Risks on Equity Returns. Available at SSRN 4985806.
  12. Aizenman, J., & Saadaoui, J. (2024). The Resilience of Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE) Countries During ECB’s Monetary Cycles (No. w32957). National Bureau of Economic Research.
  13. Saadaoui, J. (2024). The Impact of Geopolitical Tensions between the US and China on Oil Prices: How Trade War and Bad Relationships Matter. Available at SSRN 4921791.
  14. Beirne, J., Park, D., Saadaoui, J., & Uddin, G. S. (2024). Impact of Climate Vulnerability on Fiscal Risk: Do Political Stability and Financial Development Matter? (No. 748). Asian Development Bank.
  15. Oriola, H., Saadaoui, J. (2024). How does geopolitical alignment affect the catalytic effect of international organizations loans? Available at SSRN 4849861.
  16. Roderweis, P., Saadaoui, J., & Serranito, F. (2023). The Unintended Consequences of ECB’s Asset Purchases. How Excess Reserves Shape Bank Lending. Available at SSRN 4453988.