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Instrument Diagnostics after Local Projections using locproj with Stata

In three previous posts on the use of Geopolitical Turning Points as instruments for bilateral geopolitical relation, I presented the working paper, the underlying logic of the instrument,…

Customizing LP impulse response function after LOCPROJ using LPGRAPH

In a few days, Alfonso Ugarte from BBVA will release an updated version of his package LOCPROJ. In this new version, the LPGRAPH command has been greatly improved…

Statistical Difference between Regimes in State-Dependent Local Projections using LOCPROJ

In a previous blog, I covered the estimation of state-dependent local projection using LOCPROJ. The impact of random shocks of change in vulnerability affects positively the sovereign bond…

Illustrating the new IVLPIRF Stata 19’s command

Yesterday, Stata published a spotlight blog on instrumental-variable local projection impulse-response functions built around the ivlpirf command. The point is important. Local projections are already widely used in…

Drawing Local Projection IRFs with Driscoll-Kraay Inference in Stata

Local projections (LPs) have become a workhorse tool in applied macroeconomics since Jordà (2005). They are flexible, robust to misspecification, and easy to interpret. In panel settings, however,…

Impact of Climate Risk on the Bond Yields: Do Religious Tensions Matter?

In this blog, I update a previous blog of mine using an orthogonalized version of the religious tension variable coming from the international country risk guide (ICRG). Orthogonalization…